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Los Alamos and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories

Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy

Globalization and Free Trade:
Who Wins? Who Loses?

28 October 2004
Beckman Center of the National Academies, UC Irvine

Sponsored by
The Canadian Consulate of Los Angeles
and
the UC Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation

Part of the Challenges of a Transboundary World conference, 28–30 October 2004


Background
Program Planners
Participants
Preliminary Agenda


Background

In the three centuries since John Locke developed his theory of private property, and Adam Smith and David Ricardo extolled the benefits of free trade, a compelling body of liberal economic theory has developed that has been, and continues to be, highly influential in the public and private sectors, in domestic and international policy, and in development assistance agencies and multinational corporations.

The expansion of the market, it is widely believed, leads to the efficient allocation of resources and maximizes growth rates, both of which ultimately provide great material benefits to economically open societies.

Market theory is highly sophisticated, and the market has become a truly global system. Mechanisms exist at local, state, regional, and global levels that are designed to facilitate trade, encourage and protect capital investment, stabilize currencies, and settle disputes.

However, the same cannot be said about the environment that ultimately provides much of the input into the world’s economic system, undergoes extensive modification to accommodate the building of social infrastructure, and accepts the waste products of our commodity-based global economy. Nor can the same be said for mechanisms to manage labor conditions and immigration, among the other elements of global change.

The literature on the “Trade and its Impacts” debate has been published steadily since the mid-1990s, with anti- and pro-free trade authors in equal measure. While comparative research was and is a regular occurrence, much of the literature takes a position a priori, and objective and scientific analysis is not extensive. Some studies are overly normative or lack sufficient nuance.

Some of the benefits of free trade are relatively easy to quantify. Assessment of other benefits and many of the costs associated with liberalized trade poses greater challenges. This applies to objective scientific analysis of effects, not only on the environment but also on:

  • labor conditions and movements
  • intellectual property and cultural values
  • food and safety standards
  • agricultural practices, forestry, and productivity
  • employment and wealth
  • scientific contributions and R & D

An analysis of physical effects of an international instrument as general and as complex as the NAFTA side agreements, for example, must rely on approximations and models and relationships that can be described in theory but not empirically by means of convincing statistics. Data can be compiled, but they may say very little about the influence of an agreement that is not specific to a particular place or physical resources. Limited access to data and the complexities of the interconnections may make for tentative conclusions.

Conference Focus

The goal of this conference is to go beyond ideology and theory to communicate the best science and to address not only what we know but also how we know about trade and its effects and the methods used to determine that information. This conference will include the best scientific information on the impacts of free trade in North America and Europe and other regions using various indicators of environmental quality, labor, and other conditions. It will also include a comparative assessment of North America and Europe that will allow participants to learn from each other about the nature of the impacts within differing institutional formats.

Public Policy Significance

This conference comes at a significant time in light of the November elections in the United States, as trade impacts are again being debated. A WTO round of negotiations is ongoing. NAFTA is over a decade old and a free trade agreement for the Americas is being pursued.

However, the debate is centuries old and will continue well beyond 2004 as nation-states consider new regional trade agreements, as the world trade community expands the scope of liberalization attempts to open markets in all areas, and as scholars further refine the work on analysis of impacts.

Program Planners

Professor Joseph DiMento, Ph.D., J.D.
UC Irvine

Professor Geert van Claster, LLM
K. U. Leuven

Newkirk Center for Science and Society’s Strategic Planning Group

Participants

Edward J. Chambers
Western Centre for Economic Research
University of Alberta

Linda Cohen
Department of Economics
UC Irvine

Brian Copeland
Department of Economics
University of British Columbia

Ami Glazer
Department of Economics
UC Irvine

Richard Matthew
Departments of Planning, Policy, & Design
and Political Science
UC Irvine

Carol McAusland
Donald Bren School of Environmental Science
& Management
UC Santa Barbara

Marc Muendler
Department of Economics
UC San Diego

Kazuto Oshio
Department of History
Japan Women’s University

Priya Rajan
Department of Economics
UC Irvine

Roberto Sánchez-Rodríguez
Director UCMEXUS
Professor of Environmental Studies
UC Riverside

Jean-Daniel Saphores
Departments of Planning, Policy, & Design, Economics
and Civil & Environmental Engineering
UC Irvine

Jason Shogren
Stroock Distinguished Professor of Natural Resource Conservation & Management
Department of Economics & Finance
University of Wyoming

Carlos J. Valderrama
Director, Latin American Operations
Carlsmith Ball

Geert Van Calster
Co-director, IMER-Collegium Falconis
K.U. Leuven

Wallace Walrod
Vice President Research & Communications
Orange County Business Council

Oran Young
Donald Bren School of Environmental Science & Management
UC Santa Barbara
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